Wednesday 19 July 2017

Thursday's Racing Tips (20th July)

1:50 Chepstow - 

Interesting to see Mick Channon has potentially one of his better two-year-olds starting in this restricted race type. Dan's Dream is a home bred daughter of Cityscape and she has been given a Lowther Stakes Group 2 entry. This isn't any guarantee she is a super star but as you will note on the entries page of Group Horse Daily [subscription only], it is one of few for West Ilsley. To be fair, this January foal will need to be sharp to beat Demons Rock. I will say that very few of Channon's debutantes win when priced over 8/1. May have each-way claims.

2:00 Hamilton - 

Jive Lady has been something of a thorn in my side. She was given on our mailing list and I got a bit of stick because this daughter of Exceed And Excel looked pretty poor in her first two starts. The fact of the matter is that we are rarely wrong with our analysis at pinpointing talented juveniles. While this bay filly is no world beater she proved a point third time out when sustaining her pace until the line to be beaten by a capable horse. Once again, Mark Johnston's ''pocket rocket'' ran well at Nottingham when tiring in the closing stages to finish third. Make no mistake this May foal have ample speed but I do slightly worry this stiff 5f may find her out in the final furlong.  

2:20 Chepstow- 

Interesting to see Time For Wine here in her second start. She received an entry for Royal Ascot, which may well be pie in the sky. However, David Evans' daughter of Equiano wasn't disgraced on debut at Windsor over 5f. The form of that race is decent for this level and a step up in distance will be to her liking. At odds of 25/1, there may be some value. This filly was entered to run quite recently but a non-runner. I get a sneaking feeling there was money for her that day which may indicate the same will happen here. Time will tell. 

6:40 Doncaster - 

Not my favourite race type these nursery races. However, a few of these have been noted by their respective trainers. Miss Dd won well last time out when wandering across the course. Silca Mistress is a speedy filly. She won well at Thirsk and then struggled when competing at Listed class last time out. This will feel a lot easier and not a bad weight. Moonlit Sands wasn't disgraced when taking part in the Hilary Needler Stakes. Brian Ellison steps her up to 6f. She has a low official rating and if ever going to go close this could be the race.